Why High Crude Oil Prices Is Not Adding Value To Nigeria’s Economy -World Bank

Nigeria was yet to benefit from increasing oil prices as a result of declining oil production and fuel subsidy,the World Bank has said.

It also said the country’s oil production declined in 2021 due to a lack of maintenance and the loss of infrastructure efficiency.

The  bank disclosed these  in a new report titled ‘Migration and Development Brief titled ‘A War in a Pandemic: Implications of the Ukraine crisis and COVID-19 on the global governance of migration and remittance flows.

It added:“Nigeria has not been able to benefit from higher oil prices to date as: oil production declined in 2021 due to lack of maintenance and loss of infrastructure efficiency; and domestic petrol prices remain fixed—increasing the cost of the ‘Premium Motor Spirit’ subsidy, a large and growing fiscal burden.”

The bank also disclosed in another report that within almost a decade, oil production declined by 40 per cent in Nigeria.

It added:“Nigeria’s oil production fell by nearly 40 per cent from 2012 to 2021. During this period, the flaring intensity barely changed. The volume of gas flared declined broadly in proportion to oil production, falling 25 per cent, from 9.6 bcm to 6.6 bcm. There were 166 individual flare sites in the last flare count, conducted in 2019″

Nigeria’s Crude Oil Output Decreased  By 24,000b/d Last Month,Says OPEC

Nigeria’s crude oil production dropped  to an average of 1.354 million barrels per day in March 2022,according to  Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) .
The figure showed a decrease of 24, 000 barrels per day when compared to the 1.378mb/d produced averagely in the month of February 2022,the cartel said in its Oil Market Report for April 2022.
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Quoting secondary sources, OPEC said its 13 crude oil production averaged 28.56 mb/d in March 2022, higher by 57 tb/d month-on-month,adding that crude oil output increased mainly in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates while production in Libya, Nigeria and Congo declined.
Sequel to   a contraction of 1.8 per cent year-on-year in 2020, Nigeria’s economy expanded by 3.6 per cent in 2021,the report said
According to the report, the economic recovery was most likely to continue over the course of 2022 with support from improvements in the hydrocarbons sector and energy prices.
The report added: “Recent official data suggested that the annual inflation rate edged up slightly to 15.7 per cent in February 2022 from 15.6 per cent in January 2022, although food inflation remained elevated.Indeed, higher food costs related to geopolitical tensions could further fuel inflation.
“In March 2022, the overall business improvement softened as Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria’s Purchasing Managers’ Index suggested, indeed it dropped to 54.1 from 57.3 in February.Yet, the overall prospects for Nigeria’s short-term economic outlook remain positive, despite concerns over inflationary pressures amid disruptions to global trade flows and supply shortages.”
Crude Oil Prices: Wabote Sees Increased Prospects For African Producers 

Executive Secretary,Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB), Engr. Simbi Wabote,says the recent spike in crude oil prices presents excellent opportunity for African oil producers and its service providers to develop new fields, ensure security of supply and affordability as well as increase revenue generation.
.He disclosed this  at the Sub-Saharan African International Petroleum Conference (SAIPEC) organised in Lagos by the Petroleum Technology Association of Nigeria (PETAN),
He said that the price of crude oil has increased by 50 percent in 12 months and urged African oil producers should use the opportunity to also make plans towards energy transition, and lowering the cost of services.
Speaking  on the topic “Sub-Saharan Africa Local Content Collaboration Strategy,” Wabote stated that an enabling regulatory framework backed with the appropriate legislation is very fundamental in Local Content practice and commended African oil producers for putting in place investor-friendly laws to promote the oil and gas industry as well as ongoing collaboration among the countries to advance the local content journey.
According to him, such laws will align with the goals of the Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement (AFCFTA) which seeks to create the world’s largest free trade area by integrating 1.3 billion people across 54 African countries, with the objective of tapping into a combined Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of over $3 trillion
He described AFCFTA as the practice of local content on the continental level, noting that it is a huge trading and collaboration platform for the participating countries.
He harped on the need for African oil producers to utilize existing cross-border infrastructures to unlock the development of stranded assets or bring energy closer to the people. He mentioned that the existing West Africa Gas Pipeline (WAGP) and ongoing AKK gas transmission infrastructure provide a good opportunity to serve regional markets.
He also disclosed that the SHI-MCI yard in Lagos which is the only FPSO integration yard infrastructure in Africa has put Nigeria at a vantage position to serve the wider African market.
He said the Nigerian Content Intervention (NCI) Fund has exceeded half a billion dollars.
He indicated that the NCI Fund which is extended as low-cost credit to qualified oil and gas companies covers asset acquisition, project financing, manufacturing, working capital, loan refinancing, women in oil and gas, and research and development.
Wabote added that the Board is using the NCDF to catalyse the construction of modular refineries, gas processing plants, LPG terminals and bottling plants, LPG Cylinders manufacturing plants, lube oil blending plants, base oil production plant, methanol production plant, and many others.
He advocated  that a similar fund replicated at the continental level and be utilized to develop huge mega oil and gas projects, particularly as world financial institutions were getting reluctant to finance hydrocarbon-related projects.
He said: “let me use this opportunity to once again canvass for the creation of an African Local Content Fund that could be utilised to set up a bank or finance institution to provide funding for the development of oil and gas projects in Africa. This is especially important against the backdrop of the reluctance and outright declaration by some banks and financial institutions to stop funding of hydrocarbon-related projects. I hope the AFRIEXIM Bank, AFDB, or the AU through the AFCFTA Secretariat need to institute a form of contribution, no matter how little, as a fund to support the continent’s need for funds.”
He explained that “in our own case, the deduction of one percent of every contract awarded to any contractor, subcontractor, alliance partner or any other entity involved in any project, operation, activity, or transaction in the upstream sector of the Nigeria oil and gas industry has resulted in us having a pool of funds to support various intervention programmes.”
In his remarks, the Chairman, PETAN, Mr. Nicholas Odinuwe advocated for regional collaboration and innovation to enhance the future of energy sector. He disclosed that the key enabler for the continent is to create a collaborative ecosystem between the local industry stakeholders alongside the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).
Odinuwe advised  governments across Africa to provide necessary incentives to attract private sector investments across the entire value chain which would trigger a massive economic revolution, human capital development, and deepen local content across the continent.
NNPC Rakes In $224.29m From Export Of Crude Oil, Gas

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited posted a total of $224.29million receipt from crude oil and gas export in August 2021 against $191.26million recorded last July

A breakdown of the figures captured in the August 2021 NNPC Monthly Financial and Operations Report (MFOR) indicates that The export of crude oil amounted to $7.77million while gas and miscellaneous receipts stood at $65.26 million and $151.26million respectively,according to a breakdown of the figures captured in the August 2021 NNPC Monthly Financial and Operations Report (MFOR)

The figures said total crude oil and gas export receipt for the period of August 2020 to August 2021 stood at $1.84billion.

The figures added that in the gas sector, a total of 233.57billion cubic feet (bcf) of natural gas was produced in the month of August 2021 translating to an average daily production of 7,534.67million standard cubic feet per day (mmscfd).

For the period of August 2020 to August 2021, a total of 2,890.67bcf of gas was produced representing an average daily production of 7,303.61mmscfd during the period.

Period-to-date production from Joint Ventures (JVs), Production Sharing Contracts (PSCs) and the Nigerian Petroleum Development Company (NPDC) contributed about 57.51%, 20.88% and 21.62% respectively to the total national gas production.

The report also indicates that out of the 208.64bcf of gas supplied in August 2021, a total of 131.35bcf was commercialized, consisting of 40.22bcf and 91.13bcf for the domestic and export markets respectively.
This translates to an average total supply of 1,297.54mmscfd to the domestic market and 2,939.31mmscfd of gas to the export market for the month.
Total gas supply for the period of August 2020 to August 2021 stood at 2,792.28bcf out of which 537.51bcf and 1,245.93bcf were commercialized for the domestic and export markets respectively.

In the downstream sector, a total of 1.532billion litres of white products were sold and distributed by the Petroleum Products Marketing Company (PPMC), a downstream subsidiary of the NNPC, in the month of August 2021.

A breakdown of the figure indicates that petrol accounted for 99% of total sales, while Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), also known as diesel, accounted for the rest.

Total sale of white products for the period of August 2020 to August 2021 stood at 20.032billion with petrol accounting for 99.81%.

In terms of value, a total sum of ₦203.43billion was made on the sale of white products by PPMC in the month of August 2021.

Total revenues generated from the sales of white products for the period of August 2020 to August 2021 stood at ₦2.619trillion with petrol contributing about 99.76% of the total sales with a value of ₦2.613trillion.

In August 2021, 21 pipeline points were vandalized representing 50% decrease from the 42 points recorded in July 2021.

The report, Port Harcourt area accounted for 10%, while Mosimi Area accounted for 90% of the vandalized points.